- Analysts predict a potential surge, with some forecasting Bitcoin could reach $400,000 in the next market cycle.
- Recent data shows increasing confidence among traders, with significant liquidations of short positions.
Bitcoin (BTC) recently faced significant downward pressure, registering a 1.95% decline last week. However, the cryptocurrency has begun to show signs of recovery, gaining 1.50% in the past 24 hours. This upward momentum occurs despite significant shorting activity on major exchanges, including Binance and BitMEX, which has intensified since Saturday.
Analysts are increasingly optimistic about Bitcoin’s future. Data from Santiment indicates that the current climate of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) may actually help push the price higher. Kyle Chasse, an analyst, believes that Bitcoin may trade at $400,000 in the next market cycle. Although his prediction is not backed up by a lot of evidence, it is consistent with the price action following previous halvings and increasing institutional interest in Bitcoin.
IF YOU DON'T KNOW WHAT A SUPER CYCLE IS, YOU'RE GOING TO FIND OUT REAL SOON. pic.twitter.com/Gu84eK1mVZ
— Kyle Chassé / DD (@kyle_chasse) September 9, 2024
The limited supply of Bitcoin, especially in the light of the next halving event, also sustains the notion of Bitcoin as “digital gold.” The evolution of Bitcoin continues to progress in the form of increased legal definition and a more inclusive approach by both retail and institutional investors.
Additionally, the recent approval of several spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States has only increased interest in Bitcoin as a store of value. Moreover, crypto analyst Carl Runefelt recently pointed out that the current behavior is similar to that of the October 2023 market.
Analysts Forecast Price Surge
Analyst Justin Bennett has outlined a potential scenario for the BTC price to reach $70,000. He notes that getting back the $63,000 to $64,000 level may be a starting point for this rise. Bennett, however, warned that the recent rise may be a ‘bull trap’ where prices rise only to fall again if support levels are breached. He points out that a major breakout is only possible if the price is to rise back to the $64,500 level.
A counterargument to my calls for $BTC $57k before $70k is this 4h channel.
If #Bitcoin can reclaim $63-$64k, we can start talking about sweeping the $69-$70k shorts.
If it can't and these support levels start to fail, $57k becomes the target. pic.twitter.com/xefdqEOFjn
— Justin Bennett (@JustinBennettFX) October 4, 2024
Bennett has noted that trading volume in Bitcoin tends to pick up after the stock market has closed, suggesting further upside. Currently, the total amount of Bitcoin available on various exchanges has been decreasing gradually from the 3rd of October, from 2.58 million to 2.57 million BTC. This means that more and more traders are choosing to hold their Bitcoin off the exchange, which is a positive sign for the asset.
Bullish Indicators Emerge
Recently, the supply of Bitcoin in exchanges has been decreasing while the demand has been increasing. The CryptoQuant Exchange Stablecoin Ratio at 0.00009506 and falling indicates that available stablecoins are being used to buy Bitcoin. If this trend continues, BTC could continue the upward movement as market sentiment shifts towards more long positions.
Data from Coinglass suggests that short traders have incurred heavy losses on their trades with Bitcoin. Liquidators have wiped out approximately $41.80 million in short contracts on BTC, indicating a clear shift in the market toward bullish territory.
Additionally, Open Interest, a key metric measuring trader activity, has increased by 3.66%, reaching $34.08 billion.
