In summary
- Pepe Analysis: D1 RSI 29.76 sits in oversold territory → downside pressure remains dominant.
- H1 momentum weak: RSI 23.35 shows intraday sellers still in control.
- M15 deeply oversold: RSI 13.27 suggests capitulation risk but also rebound potential if sellers tire.
- EMAs, MACD, Bollinger, ATR, and pivot levels: not provided → decisions rely more on price behavior and RSI context.
- Macro backdrop: total crypto mcap down -5.58%, BTC dominance at 57.62%, Fear & Greed at 22 (Extreme Fear) → environment remains risk-off for altcoins.
Pepe Analysis — quick take
With sentiment fragile and momentum heavy, Pepe Analysis points to a cautious stance while watching for signs of seller exhaustion.
Multi-timeframe analysis
Pepe Analysis — Daily (D1)
EMA20/50/200: not provided. We cannot place price versus trend averages; as a result, our bias leans on regime and oscillators.
RSI (14) = 29.76: below 30, indicating oversold conditions. This typically reflects stretched downside momentum, where bounces can occur, but sellers still dictate the tape.
MACD: not provided. Without line/signal context, we cannot confirm momentum shifts; caution is warranted.
Bollinger Bands: not provided. Lack of band data limits our read on volatility squeezes or band-walk behavior.
ATR (14): not provided. Position sizing and stop placement should be conservative until volatility is clarified.
Pivot (PP/S1/R1): not provided. Triggers must come from structure and intraday reaction levels.
Overall, the D1 regime is bearish, and oversold RSI implies pressure persists even if relief rallies pop up. The tone feels heavy.
Pepe Analysis — Hourly (H1)
Intraday bias: bearish regime. RSI 23.35 shows sellers pressing their advantage. Momentum feels one-sided, and bids appear hesitant.
MACD / Bollinger / ATR / Pivots: not provided. Without these, we watch for momentum divergences or failed sell-offs to gauge shift risk.
Key levels
| Level | Type | Bias/Note |
|---|---|---|
| not provided | EMA20 | Dynamic resistance in downtrends if price trades below. |
| not provided | EMA50 | Trend gauge; reclaiming it would hint at stabilization. |
| not provided | EMA200 | Cycle line; below it keeps the higher-timeframe bearish. |
| not provided | Pivot PP | Intraday balance point; a reclaim could mark a pause in selling. |
| not provided | Pivot S1 | First support; a loss would expose further downside. |
| not provided | Pivot R1 | First resistance; a break often fuels relief extensions. |
| not provided | Bollinger Upper | Acts as resistance during bear phases. |
| not provided | Bollinger Middle | Mean reversion guide; regaining it can signal balance. |
| not provided | Bollinger Lower | Oversold pressure zone; sustained closes here show trend strength. |
Andamento e dati di Pepe sempre aggiornati sul sito ufficiale Pepe.
Trading scenarios
Bearish — main scenario (D1-led)
- Trigger: Continuation of lower lows on D1 while RSI remains sub-40.
- Target: Next untested supports or liquidity pockets (levels not provided).
- Invalidation: D1 close reclaiming the middle Bollinger or EMA50 (not provided).
- Risk: Stops sized at 0.5–1.0× ATR (ATR: not provided) to respect potential snapback rallies.
Bullish — countertrend
- Trigger: A D1 bullish divergence on RSI or a clean reclaim of PP/R1 (not provided).
- Target: Middle/upper Bollinger or EMA cluster above (not provided).
- Invalidation: Loss of the prior swing low on H1/M15.
- Risk: Consider tight stops, 0.5× ATR (ATR: not provided), given trend risk.
Neutral — range rebuild
- Trigger: Sideways consolidation around PP with RSI hovering 40–50 (PP not provided).
- Target: Range edges; fade extremes until a break confirms.
- Invalidation: Breakout and hold beyond R1/S1 (not provided).
- Risk: Moderate stops near 0.75× ATR (ATR: not provided) to avoid chop.
Overall, the Pepe Analysis favors the bearish path until momentum recovers; any bounce should prove itself above resistance.
Market context
Total crypto market cap: 3,645,144,515,656.78 USD; 24h change: -5.58%.
BTC dominance: 57.62%.
Fear & Greed Index: 22 — Extreme Fear.
High dominance and fear usually weigh on altcoins; in this Pepe Analysis, that backdrop argues for patience and respect for downside risk.
DeFi Ecosystem
DEX fees snapshot:
- Uniswap V3: 1d -0.55%, 7d 9.68%, 30d 56.71%.
- Fluid DEX: 1d 7.03%, 7d 45.81%, 30d 43.55%.
- Uniswap V4: 1d -12.49%, 7d 13.18%, 30d 27.77%.
- Curve DEX: 1d 64.45%, 7d 174.58%, 30d 211.03%.
- Uniswap V2: 1d -18.55%, 7d -33.74%, 30d 2053.42%.
Mixed and volatile fee trends imply uneven risk appetite across DeFi — a backdrop that can keep alt flows choppy. Pepe Analysis reads this as selective participation rather than broad accumulation.
