VET Analysis: this week’s key levels as momentum stalls

In summary

• D1 bearish; RSI 40.16 with price stuck at 0.02 USDT EMAs.
• MACD flat at 0; Bollinger Bands overlap 0.02 → heavy compression.
• H1/M15 RSIs 51.37/59.53 hint at a fragile intraday bid.
• ATR 0.00 USDT and pivot 0.02 → breakouts could be abrupt.
• This VET Analysis focuses on compression and key breaks this week.

Multi-timeframe analysis

VET Analysis — Daily (D1)

EMAs: price closes at 0.02 USDT, matching the 20/50/200‑day EMAs at 0.02 USDT. Bearish bias persists despite the flat cluster, as the regime flag is bearish; buyers lack an advantage.

RSI (14): 40.16. Sub‑50 readings suggest weak demand; rallies may fade unless RSI reclaims 50.

MACD: line, signal, and histogram are 0. Momentum void shows no trend impulse, keeping breakouts unreliable without volume.

Bollinger Bands: upper, mid, and lower all sit at 0.02 USDT. Squeeze conditions imply extreme compression; a move outside 0.02 could trigger expansion.

ATR (14): 0.00 USDT. Vanishing volatility warns that typical ATR‑based buffers are unusable; any breakout might gap rather than trend smoothly.

Pivots: PP/R1/S1 all at 0.02 USDT. Single fulcrum means micro‑breaks around 0.02 decide direction; confirmation should come from closes, not wicks.

VET Analysis — Hourly (H1)

Price vs EMAs: close 0.02 USDT, equal to the 20/50/200‑hour EMAs at 0.02 USDT. Flat posture keeps intraday trend unclear.

RSI (14): 51.37. Neutral‑slight bid hints buyers have a small edge, but it’s unconvincing without follow‑through.

MACD: 0/0/0 and Bands at 0.02 USDT. No impulse intraday; volatility remains constrained.

VET Analysis — M15

RSI (14): 59.53 with price near 0.02 USDT. Short‑term tilt favors minor pops, yet the broader compression caps follow‑through.

Overall, D1 leans bearish while H1 and M15 are neutral‑to‑slightly bullish. Cautious structure: until 0.02 USDT breaks decisively, the path of least resistance remains choppy.

Key levels

Three focuses this week: the 0.02 USDT pivot, EMA200 at 0.02 USDT, and the Bollinger mid at 0.02 USDT.

Trading scenarios

Bearish (main)

Trigger: D1 close below 0.02 USDT (pivot/EMAs/band mid).
Target: toward the lower band at 0.02 USDT (no lower print provided).
Invalidation: D1 close back above 0.02 USDT.
Risk: ATR 0.00 USDT → 0.5–1.0× ATR equals 0; consider a minimal tick buffer beyond the break (quant level not provided).

Bullish

Trigger: H1 close above 0.02 USDT with follow‑through beyond the upper band at 0.02 USDT.
Target: retest of R1 at 0.02 USDT; further targets not provided.
Invalidation: return below 0.02 USDT on H1.
Risk: With ATR at 0.00 USDT, size conservatively; 0.5–1.0× ATR gives 0, so substitute a fixed micro‑buffer (not provided).

Neutral

Trigger: price continues oscillating around 0.02 USDT with RSI between 45–55 on H1 (actual RSI 51.37).
Target: range maintenance around the pivot at 0.02 USDT.
Invalidation: decisive close away from 0.02 USDT on D1.
Risk: ATR‑based stops unusable at 0.00 USDT; avoid over‑tight entries within noise (volume data not provided).

Market context

Total crypto market cap: 3962661234996.05 USD; 24h change: -0.27%; BTC dominance: 57.64%; Fear & Greed Index: 50 (Neutral). Elevated dominance with neutral sentiment often keeps altcoins subdued until catalysts emerge.

High BTC dominance and Neutral sentiment usually weigh on altcoins.

Ecosystem (DeFi or chain)

DEX fees show mixed momentum: Uniswap V4 +91.89% (1d), Uniswap V3 +46.09%, Curve DEX +69.40%, and Fluid DEX +36.53%, while Uniswap V2 reports -100% across recent windows. Activity appears concentrated in newer venues.

Mixed fees suggest selective participation across DeFi platforms.

Recent news

Reuters noted on 2025-10-21 that a Sunday veterans soccer team was boosted by former Premier League players. Relevance to VET’s crypto price is not provided.

Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. #NFA #DYOR

Official resource: VeChain
Research context: BIS Bulletin No 69 Crypto shocks and retail losses